The UFC prelims are ready for this banger fight, Zachary Reese vs Sdriques Dumas. This UFC fight prediction is interesting. Let’s understand the technicals about this fight.
Fighter Snapshot
| Fighter | Zachary “Savage” Reese | Sedriques “The Reaper” Dumas |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9–2–0 | 10–3–0 |
| Height | 6′4″ (193 cm) | 6′2″ (188 cm) |
| Reach | ~77″ (196 cm) | ~79″ (201 cm) |
| Base Style | Wrestling-striker hybrid | Kickboxing-oriented with BJJ |
| Notable Strengths | Heavy hands, takedown accuracy | High striking output, precision |
Technical Comparison
Striking & Stand-Up
- Sedriques Dumas delivers a strong 4.28 significant strikes per minute at 54% accuracy—well above division standards.
- Zachary Reese is more measured, with a lower striking output (2.1 spm).
Edge: Dumas, for volume and accuracy.
Grappling & Wrestling
- Reese boasts a formidable 58% takedown accuracy and defense, suggesting he controls where the fight happens.
- Dumas does not prioritize wrestling but is serviceable in scrambles thanks to his BJJ background (e.g., two submission wins).
Edge: Reese, with higher-level wrestling control.
Defense & Durability
- Dumas absorbs roughly 2.99 strikes per minute, with a solid 56% strike defense, keeping him well within striking exchanges.
- Reese’s defensive numbers aren’t explicitly listed, but his loss history includes knockouts—suggesting potential vulnerabilities under pressure.
Tactical Outlook
- Zachary Reese will likely lean on his wrestling base—aiming to close the distance, control the clinch, and grind out the action with takedowns.
- Sedriques Dumas must keep it upright, using his kickboxing to maintain distance, land significant strikes, and punish Reese before he closes in.
Prediction & Betting Insight
- Reese enters as the clear favorite across sportsbooks (around –285) while Dumas is the underdog (around +230).
- Historically, Reese’s susceptibility to early finishes—and Dumas’ first-round knockout loss to Michal Oleksiejczuk—add complexity to the outcome.
- Fan sentiment echoes the analytics: Tapology favorites Reed with nearly 89% picks to win, while a Reddit comment captures the volatility: “If Reese doesn’t KO him in 3 mins Dumas wins here easily. Dumas is more skilled by and large…”
Final Prediction: Zachary Reese by Decision or TKO
Reese’s wrestling and pace control tilt the fight in his favor. If he can shut down Dumas’s rhythm early, Reese will dominate.
But Dumas holds real upset potential with striking—so it may well come down to whether Reese can neutralize it early.