A perfect analysis of the highly anticipated fight, Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos. Predicting the winner of this fight based on these analyses.
Fighters Overview
| Fighter | Tatiana Suarez | Amanda Lemos |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11–1 | 15–4–1 |
| Ranking | #2 Strawweight (as of Feb 2025) | #4 Strawweight (as of Apr 2025) |
| Style | Elite Wrestler & Black-belt BJJ (Southpaw) | Powerful Striker (Orthodox) |
| Height / Reach | 5′5″ / ~66 in (168 cm) | 5′4″ / ~65 in (165 cm) |
Technical Comparison: Grappling, Wrestling, Striking
Grappling & Submission Skill
- Tatiana Suarez: A decorated freestyle wrestler—World & Pan‑American medalist, with substantial top control in UFC (highest control time in Strawweight history, numerous takedowns, elite BJJ black belt).
- Amanda Lemos: More known for her striking, though she does possess a few submission wins—mostly focused on power rather than grappling depth.
Edge: Suarez — dominant on the ground, exceptional control.
Wrestling & Takedowns
According to Combat Edge:
- Surgez: 63% takedown defense, 4.65 takedowns landed per 15 minutes, 47% takedown accuracy.
- Lemos: Not wrestling‑oriented; stats focused on striking, with no notable takedown threats.
Edge: Clear advantage to Suarez—wrestling specialist vs. striker.
Striking & Stand-up
Combat Edge data:
- Lemos: Lands 3.22 significant strikes/min with 62% accuracy; absorbs just 1.58 strikes/min.
- Suarez: Landing 2.89 strikes/min, possibly with lower volume and less emphasis on stand-up.
Edge: Lemos — higher output, crisp accuracy, effective and efficient striker.
Tactical Breakdown & Fight Dynamics
Tatiana Suarez
- Will aim to press forward, secure takedowns, and dominate top position.
- Utilizes wrestling to control pace and implement submissions or ground-and-pound.
Amanda Lemos
- Likely to keep the fight standing, using power striking (notably KO potential).
- Will attempt to maintain distance, capitalize on striking accuracy, and avoid grappling traps.
Fight Analysis & Prediction
Key Match Factors:
- Suarez’s path to victory: clinch takedowns, impose wrestling, neutralize Lemos’ stand-up, and grind out rounds or score submission/ground finishes.
- Lemos’s route to win: defend takedowns vigorously, land striking combos, use her power and precision to hurt Suarez, and boot her from range.
Given Suarez’s elite grappling and ability to control the fight early, her best chance is to dictate where the fight happens. Yet Lemos’ striking efficiency and power pose a real threat if she avoids being taken down.
Prediction: Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos
Tatiana Suarez by Decision or Ground Finish.
Suarez’s wrestling credentials and ability to control and neutralize stand-up threats tip the scales in her favor—unless Lemos can keep the fight exclusively upright and punish significantly.
Takeaways
- Upcoming UFC matchup: Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos, Strawweight, Sept 13, 2025.
- Suarez: Elite wrestler with superior grappling and control; significant takedown threat.
- Lemos: Dangerous striker with high volume, power, and striking accuracy.
- Prediction: Suarez likely dictates the fight via wrestling and clinch control—favored to win.
Final Thoughts
This matchup presents a classic grappler vs. striker contest. Suarez brings high-level wrestling and top control, while Lemos packs striking firepower and precision.
All eyes will be on whether Suarez can swiftly take it to the mat or if Lemos can keep it upright and inflict damage.
A strategic and fascinating clash awaits—and I lean toward Suarez prevailing, via ground dominance or decision.