Imavov vs Borralho Prediction

Middleweight Main Event: Nassourdine Imavov vs Borralho prediction.

Fighter Overview:

Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0, 1 NC, #2 UFC Middleweight): Imavov is riding a four-fight win streak, including a knockout over former champion Israel Adesanya in February 2025. He averages 4.45 significant strikes per minute with 58% accuracy and boasts a 78% takedown defense. His grappling includes solid ground control, averaging 1.2 takedowns per 15 minutes, but he excels in striking exchanges.
Caio Borralho (17-1-0, 1 NC, #6 UFC Middleweight): Borralho remains undefeated in 17 fights since 2015, with a mix of 5 KOs and 4 submissions. He lands 3.61 significant strikes per minute at 52% accuracy and has a strong grappling game, averaging 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes with excellent top control and submission threats.

Analysis:

This matchup pits Imavov’s precise, high-volume striking against Borralho’s versatile grappling and ground control.

Imavov’s superior striking output and defense could allow him to dictate the pace on the feet, where he absorbs only 3.12 significant strikes per minute compared to Borralho’s 2.89.

However, Borralho’s wrestling edge, evidenced by his ability to maintain top position and transition to submissions, poses a significant threat if he closes the distance.

Imavov’s takedown defense will be crucial; if he stuffs Borralho’s attempts, his crisp boxing and footwork could lead to a striking clinic.

On the ground, Borralho’s control time (averaging over 4 minutes per fight in recent bouts) might wear Imavov down. Still, Imavov’s scrambling ability and home-crowd energy in Paris favor him in a stand-up war.

Experts note Borralho’s potential to neutralize Imavov’s power through grappling, but Imavov’s momentum and technical edge suggest he’ll outpoint his opponent.