Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva: Fight Preview And Prediction

In this article, we will analyse the fight Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva in terms of technical analysis and predict the winner of this UFC fight.

Fighters at a Glance

Comparative Breakdown: Grappling, Wrestling, Striking & Technique

Grappling & Submission Skill

• Puelles is well-known for his lethal leg submissions, especially kneebars — he holds the UFC record for most kneebar finishes (three) and has earned multiple Performance of the Night bonuses for them.
• Silva, a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, also brings solid submission credentials, though fewer finish highlights compared to Puelles.

Edge: Puelles — more refined finishing ability on the ground.

Wrestling & Takedown Game

Stats breakdown (Puelles vs Division Average):

• Takedown Accuracy: 37% vs ~51% (some divisions average)
• Takedowns per 15 min: ~0.39 vs ~1.5 (lower output)
• Takedown Defense: 60–69% (slightly better than average)

Puelles doesn’t rely heavily on wrestling offensively but defends smartly. Silva’s takedown data isn’t available in sources yet, but his striking defense and counters are often highlighted.

Edge: Slight edge to Silva in wrestling, considering Puelles’ moderate output and Silva’s more balanced style.

Striking & Stand-up

From Combat Edge stats for Puelles:

• Significant Strikes Landed per minute: 1.56 (below division avg. ~3.66)
• Striking Accuracy: 50% (slightly above average)
• Strikes Absorbed per minute: 2.78 (below avg. ~4.53 — good defense)
• Significant Strike Defense: ~46–53% (slightly below average)

Silva, by contrast, is known for solid volume, precision, and strong takedown defense. According to the MMA model predictive analysis:

Silva’s style is technical, with crisp striking and counter-timing; Puelles hits accurately but less frequently.

Edge: Joaquim Silva — more output, precision, and technical striking.

Fight Analysis & Prediction

Strengths and Gameplan Dynamics

• Claudio Puelles:
  • Exceptional leg‑submission artist — looks for kneebar opportunities.
  • Good submission defense and counter grappling.
  • Technically clean striking, though less frequent.
• Joaquim Silva:
  • Broad striking arsenal with volume and precision.
  • Strong takedown defense.
  • Experienced fighter with renowned cardio and pace control.

Strategic Outlook

• If Puelles can bring the fight to the ground, particularly triggering leg attacks, he remains dangerous at any point.
• Silva’s likely path: maintain distance with technical striking, defend takedowns carefully, and capitalize on Puelles’ lower striking output with combinations and pressure.
• A persistent striking rhythm from Silva could frustrate Puelles and prevent him from setting up submissions.

What Experts & Models Predict

• The MMA Analytics model forecasts Silva winning by KO/TKO in Round 2, assuming he avoids Puelles’ grappling threats.
• Tapology community leans heavily toward Puelles (69%) over Silva (31%) — possibly reflecting fan appeal for submission specialists.
• Forebet algorithm tilts strongly toward Puelles with a 78% win probability, highlighting his finishing ability.

Final Prediction: Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva

Prediction: Joaquim Silva by TKO/Decision.

Why?

• Silva’s striking volume, accuracy, and takedown defense create a favorable framework.
• If fresh, he may outpoint Puelles or find a finish through stand-up dominance.
• Puelles must fight intelligently to close the distance, protect against pressure, and seek his kneebar paths — but Silva’s defense and veteran savvy could limit those opportunities.

SEO-Friendly Takeaways

• Upcoming UFC Fight Night bout: Claudio Puelles vs. Joaquim Silva — September 13, 2025.
• Comparison: Puelles excels in kneebar submissions; Silva brings precise, high-volume striking and takedown defense.
• Prediction: Silva edges out with striking dominance and defense — potential KO/TKO or control to decision.

Final Thoughts

This matchup promises a compelling contrast: Puelles’ ground devastation vs. Silva’s stand-up control. Silva’s technical striking and defense likely neutralize Puelles’ submission arsenal — giving him the edge.

But in MMA, one well-placed attempt can change everything. Expect a tactical, exciting bout — with the smart money leaning toward Silva, unless Puelles lands his famed leg attack early.