Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria Fight Overview And Prediction

Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria: Fighter Overview

FighterAlessandro “Nono” CostaAlden “Cobra” Coria
Record14‑4‑0 (5 KO/TKO, 6 Sub, 3 Dec)10-3-0 (4 TKO, 4 Sub, 2 Dec, 1 NC)
Height / Reach~5′4″ / 67″ (~163 cm / 170 cm)5′8″ / 67″ (~173 cm / 170 cm)
Style & BaseOrthodoxy, Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, finishing versatilityBalanced striker with submission skills (“Cobra”)

Technical Breakdown

Striking & Stand-up

  • Alessandro Costa lands 4.14 significant strikes per minute with 48% accuracy—slightly above Flyweight average—and absorbs 3.50 strikes/min, showcasing a solid defense at 58% success.
  • Alden Coria does not have precise striking rate data publicly available, but his record shows consistent KO/TKO finishes (4), highlighting his striking potency and finishing ability.

Edge: Slight advantage to Costa for volume and defensive numbers; Coria gains merit with his finishing track record.

Grappling & Submission Game

  • Costa: 43% of his wins come via submission (6 total), with 0 submission losses, reflecting strong ground proficiency.
  • Coria: Also holds 40% wins by submission (4), but with 1 submission defeat—indicating solid but slightly vulnerable grappling.

Edge: Costa, based on submission defense and no losses via that method.

Takedowns & Defense

  • Costa’s stats: Averages just 0.27 takedowns per 15 minutes, with low accuracy (~13%), but boasts an excellent 91% takedown defense—demonstrating strong ability to keep the fight standing if needed.
  • Coria: No specific takedown data found, but his submission wins suggest capable grappling in transitional situations.

Edge: Costa—due to significantly better takedown defense.

Fight Dynamics & Strategy

Alessandro Costa:

  • Will aim to impose distance control with his striking volume and strong defensive metrics.
  • Looks to exploit his grappling: use superior takedown defense to pick his spots and capitalize offensively when possible.

Alden Coria:

  • Likely to keep pressure high—threatening with both strikes and submissions.
  • Seeks to mix in grappling to disrupt Costa’s rhythm and capitalize with a finish.

Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria: Prediction & Analysis

Stats-backed Insight:

  • Costa exhibits a more well-rounded technical game, with superior defense and finishing balance.
  • Coria’s threat lies in explosive transitions and commitment to finishing.

Prediction: Alessandro Costa by Decision or Late Submission.

  • Costa’s ability to control striking exchanges and neutralize takedowns should allow him to dictate the pace.
  • Unless Coria lands early or forces a scramble, Costa is positioned to outpoint him or secure a late finish on the ground.

Final Thoughts

This clash promises an exciting showcase of versatility versus finishing instincts. Costa provides technical depth in both stand-up defense and submissions without losses in that domain, while Coria offers momentum-changing potential.

The key will be Costa’s ability to control distance and neutralize Coria’s transitions. Barring any early chaos, expect Costa to prevail wisely or tactically ground Coria as the fight progresses.

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